Well, yesterday I ran down my predictions for 2015 and the results. Let’s see if I can do better in 2016.
Predictions for the Philippines in 2016
As usual, I have a list of ten predictions of things that I think will happen in the Philippines in the coming year. Will I be right? Well, if the past is an indicator, I will be correct on some of my predictions and incorrect on others. We shall see. Let’s take a look at what I have for 2016.
Prediction 1: President Duterte
With 2016 being an election year in the Philippines, of course some of the predictions will be of a political nature. Please understand, I am not endorsing or hoping for any candidate to win or lose, I am only saying what I think will happen. My first prediction is that I believe that Rody Duterte will become the President of the Philippines in 2016. I just don’t see any person in the field who can beat Mayor Duterte. Duterte can draw strong support from the Visayas (his parents were both from the Visayas) and of course from Mindanao. Early surveys are indicating that Rody even has strong support in Luzon. A lot of Filipinos are fed up with business as usual in the Philippines, and they want to shake things up, try something different, if you will. Nobody can shake things up much more than Rody Duterte. Having lived in Davao for many years, I can honestly say that I don’t think anybody (except the criminals) have anything to fear from a Duterte presidency, and if things go like Davao has gone under a Duterte administration, there could be some great things coming! So, prediction number 1 is that we will be seeing a President Duterte in the Philippines in 2016.
Prediction 2: Senator Pacquiao
Manny Pacquiao is due for a win after the big flop with Floyd in 2015, and he will get that win in 2016. Maybe he will get a win in the boxing ring, but this time I am talking about a political win. As I mentioned in Prediction 1, this is a political year, and Manny is running for Senator this time. I think we will be seeing Manny Pacquiao with his arm raised when the election results are announced in May. Let’s get ready to rumble!
Prediction 3: Action with China
The past few years have seen a spat between the Philippines and China. In fact, pretty much that has been the case sine President Aquino has taken office. Sometimes Aquino has provoked China, and I am not saying if that is right or wrong, but only that it has been the case. In 2016 we will be seeing some fairly profound action between the Philippines and China. It will focus on the Spratly Islands, or the Scarborough Shoal as it is also called., but may also include other matters. What will happen? Watch and see!
Prediction 4: Parallels between US and Philippines
There will be a big parallel between Philippine election results and US election results in November. A surprise that happens in the Philippines will have a parallel in US elections too. Most people don’t think it could happen in either country, but it will happen in both! Some will be shocked. It could actually turn out to be a good thing, though. Keep watching!
Prediction 5: ISIS in the Philippines
I hate to say this, but we are already starting to see signs that ISIS has a presence in the Philippines. This will be confirmed in 2016, and lead to a lot of soul searching and concerns about how to handle it. Truth is, we will be learning that ISIS is in every part of the world, and the Philippines is included in that. Not good news!
Prediction 6: The fight against Dengue Fever
In 2016 we will be getting some news regarding the fight against Dengue Fever. Dengue is a mosquito born sickness. I had dengue in 2009, and can attest that it is certainly no fun. It is usually not deadly, although it can be. We will be getting some news in regards to the fight against dengue, and I think it will be good news!
Prediction 7: Fifty
Americans and other foreigners will love this one. The US Dollar will hit 50 in the year of 2016. Yep! It has been many years sine we have seen a US Dollar that will buy 50 Philippine Pesos, but we will see it again in 2016. It was only a few years ago when the dollar was worth only 40 Pesos, but we are currently sitting at P47:$1, and I think this is the year when it will hit 50. A lot of the upsurge in the value of the dollar will come due to the political activity in 2016 – activity on both sides of the Pacific Ocean. Will it stay at 50? I don’t know, but I think that we will have an opportunity to make some exchanges at 50 to $1. Happy days!
Prediction 8: OFW Crisis
There will be some kind of crisis this year in terms of the OFW (Overseas Filipino Worker) population. I am unsure exactly what this will be, but you will be hearing about it. Overseas workers area huge portion of the Philippine economy, so this could really impact the country.
Prediction 9: A Filipino Food will Make a Splash
Here is something that rarely happens… a Filipino Food will be making a splash on the International scene in 2016. Will it be good or bad? Maybe both! One way or another, it will get the Philippines noticed! Keep watching, and tasting!
Prediction 10: Filipinos in for a major disappointment after the 2016 Elections
Yep, something that happens in the 2016 elections will lead to major, major (remember that?) disappointment among the Filipino people. This could be a case of “unintended consequences” that people realize after it has already happened!
I am sure that 2016 will be an exciting year for the Philippines and the rest of the world. Good and bad things will certainly be happening.
Happy New Year to all LiP readers! Have a wonderful 2016 wherever you are!